|There is Still Hope||Hope and Change in the Real World|
by Christopher Chantrill
October 29, 2008 at 2:22 pm
THE LAST time the United States experienced a meltdown like the one we are currently experiencing on President Bushs watch, our Democratic friends got to occupy the presidency for four consecutive terms and won congressional hegemony for half a century.
At the nadir of Republican fortunes after the 1936 election the US Senate was Democratic by 76 to 18, and the House was Democratic by 334-88. You could look it up at usstuckonstupid.com. Talk about a filibuster-proof Congress!
Eventually a political movement emerged, headed by William F. Buckley, Jr., standing athwart history shouting: Stop! It revived the economy, won the Cold War, and took a tentative stab at the welfare state with a reform of the most egregious of the 70-odd welfare programs of the United States goverments.
But all good things must come to an end, or at the very least, must go in cycles, and many conservatives are succumbing to political panic to match the financial panic they feel when the 401K statement arrives in the mail box.
A liberal supermajority, many people warn, could be the end of the United States as we know it.
But let us not be swayed by mere emotion. Let us take a look at the facts. And the best facts are available at usgovernmentspending.com, a global resource bursting with over half a million records of government spending. Let us look at the four big domestic spending programs then and nowin the fateful year of 1929 and the mortgage meltdown year of 2008. You can play around with the chart by clicking here.
There they are: government pensions, government health care, government education, and government welfare. From a puny level of three percent of Gross Domestic Product in 1929 these programs have grown to about 21 percent of GDP. That is what 80 years of spend, tax, and elect have achieved. We know, of course, that government pensions (including Social Security and welfare) are pure payoffs to Democratic political supporters. The other two ribbons of largesse, government education and government health care, seem almost to qualify as simple transfer programs for all that they deliver services that many men and women desire.
But that is politics. When any movement seizes political power, whether by direct civil war and conquest or by the modern equivalent, the democratic election, it gets to reward its loyal servitors. Its not exactly piracy and plunder, but its the modern equivalent.
Of course there is no end to the appetite of political servitors, and it appears, this fall, that the conservative interregnum of the last 30 years has provoked the servitors of the government sector into a kind of appetitive frenzy.
But a look at the chart makes you wonder: Why the frenzy? Were the servitors pensions cut? No. Was government health care cut? No, instead it has increased substantially on Bushs watch. Was education cut? Not at all, it is persistently increasing its share of the national product. Only welfare shows a modest cut from the go-go years between 1975 and 1995, so it makes sense that Sen. Barack Obama (D-IL) is generously proposing a per-capita annual payment to 95 percent of taxpayers to compensate the suffering multitudes for the Reagan-Bush cuts.
Heres a fearless prediction: win or lose, Barack Obama is bound to disappoint his supporters. It is one thing to increase government transfers from three percent of GDP to 21 percent over the best part of a century. Evidently the national economy can afford a deadweight cost of 21 percent of GDP spent on political patronage. It is another thing to push it up from there, on the top of major increases in Social Security, government employee pensions, and Medicare already baked into the cake. There isnt going to be much change, not even if you define it as more of the same.
Yet there is a growing fear of this more-of-the-same, and it has got conservatives in a funk. Today, even the ebullient Mark Steyn was somber. If a majority of Americans want [a Declaration of Dependence], we holdouts must respect their choice.
Heres hoping that they dont.
But if we must retreat to Valley Forge and hear once more the old lament of Thomas Paine from the dark days of the winter of 1776: these are the times that try mens souls, let us do something about it. Let us report at once to training camp and get to work to raise our game.
The first thing we do, let us retire the old resolve to stand athwart history and replace it with a new vision to best our liberal friends in everything, from philosophy to politics, from economic policy to education, and from health care to culture. If there is one thing we have learned over the Reagan-Bush years, it is that conservatives cannot transform America as a subculture. We must become the reigning culture of America.
But let this always be our watchword: Let us always do the right thing.
If we do the right thing then we will come once again to deserve the confidence of the American people, and the American people, practical and sensible as they are, will once more pass the baton to us. And it will be sooner than we think.
Buy his Road to the Middle Class.
[The Axial Age] highlights the conception of a responsible self... [that] promise[s] man for the first time that he can understand the fundamental structure of reality and through salvation participate actively in it.
Robert N Bellah, "Religious Evolution", American Sociological Review, Vol. 29, No. 3.
[To make] of each individual member of the army a soldier who, in character, capability, and knowledge, is self-reliant, self-confident, dedicated, and joyful in taking responsibility [verantwortungsfreudig] as a man and a soldier. — Gen. Hans von Seeckt
MacGregor Knox, Williamson Murray, ed., The dynamics of military revolution, 1300-2050
Civil Societya complex welter of intermediate institutions, including businesses, voluntary associations, educational institutions, clubs, unions, media, charities, and churchesbuilds, in turn, on the family, the primary instrument by which people are socialized into their culture and given the skills that allow them to live in broader society and through which the values and knowledge of that society are transmitted across the generations.
Francis Fukuyama, Trust
[W]hen I asked a liberal longtime editor I know with a mainstream [publishing] house for a candid, shorthand version of the assumptions she and her colleagues make about conservatives, she didn't hesitate. Racist, sexist, homophobic, anti-choice fascists, she offered, smiling but meaning it.
Harry Stein, I Can't Believe I'm Sitting Next to a Republican
[T]he Liberal, and still more the subspecies Radical... more than any other in these latter days seems under the impression that so long as he has a good end in view he is warranted in exercising over men all the coercion he is able[.]
Herbert Spencer, The Man Versus the State
These emerge out of long-standing moral notions of freedom, benevolence, and the affirmation of ordinary life... I have been sketching a schematic map... [of] the moral sources [of these notions]... the original theistic grounding for these standards... a naturalism of disengaged reason, which in our day takes scientistic forms, and a third family of views which finds its sources in Romantic expressivism, or in one of the modernist successor visions.
Charles Taylor, Sources of the Self
Families helped each other putting up homes and barns. Together, they built churches, schools, and common civic buildings. They collaborated to build roads and bridges. They took pride in being free persons, independent, and self-reliant; but the texture of their lives was cooperative and fraternal.
Michael Novak, The Spirit of Democratic Capitalism
For [the left] there is only the state and the individual, nothing in between. No family to rely on, no friend to depend on, no community to call on. No neighbourhood to grow in, no faith to share in, no charities to work in. No-one but the Minister, nowhere but Whitehall, no such thing as society - just them, and their laws, and their rules, and their arrogance.
David Cameron, Conference Speech 2008
As far as the Catholic Church is concerned, the principal focus of her interventions in the public arena is the protection and promotion of the dignity of the person, and she is thereby consciously drawing particular attention to principles which are not negotiable...
[1.] protection of life in all its stages, from the first moment of conception until natural death; [2.] recognition and promotion of the natural structure of the family... [3.] the protection of the right of parents to educate their children.
Pope Benedict XVI, Speech to European Peoples Party, 2006
No lesson seems to be so deeply inculcated by the experience of life as that you should never trust experts. If you believe doctors, nothing is wholesome: if you believe the theologians, nothing is innocent: if you believe the soldiers, nothing is safe. They all require their strong wine diluted by a very large admixture of insipid common sense.
Lord Salisbury, Letter to Lord Lytton
What distinguishes true Conservatism from the rest, and from the Blair project, is the belief in more personal freedom and more market freedom, along with less state intervention... The true Third Way is the Holy Grail of Tory politics today - compassion and community without compulsion.
Minette Marrin, The Daily Telegraph
In England there were always two sharply opposed middle classes, the academic middle class and the commercial middle class. In the nineteenth century, the academic middle class won the battle for power and status... Then came the triumph of Margaret Thatcher... The academics lost their power and prestige and... have been gloomy ever since.
Freeman Dyson, The Scientist as Rebel